Mason McTavish vs Phillip Danault
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 49.0% vs Danault 54.8% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 75.1%
Defensive zone
Danault 61.9%
Neutral zone
McTavish 58.7%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
McTavish
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
McTavish
Danault
Last 7: McTavish 3-4 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
0
McTavish
Danault
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
2
0
McTavish
Danault
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
0
4
McTavish
Danault
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (616)
56.5% (711)
-8.9%
Power Play
57.8% (102)
46.0% (50)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
51.7% (116)
-18.4%
On penalty kill, Danault has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. McTavish is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
McTavish shoots left. Danault is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
McTavish
Danault
Home
52.2% (389)
57.0% (379)
Away
45.1% (335)
54.0% (498)
By Period
McTavish
Danault
P1
50.0%
55.8%
P2
47.9%
55.3%
P3
49.0%
54.8%
OT
40.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
45.5%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.9%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 10:17 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 10:07 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 03:23 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 11:45 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 11:36 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |