Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (41.8% vs 42.0%). Higgins wins 43.6% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Higgins 44.1% vs Barzal 42.2% (-0.2%)
Offensive zone
Higgins 51.3%
Defensive zone
Barzal 55.4%
Neutral zone
Higgins 50.0%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Higgins
Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Higgins
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (168)
41.9% (3,565)
+1.6%
Power Play
45.7% (46)
43.4% (205)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (40)
42.3% (26)
-12.3%
On penalty kill, Barzal has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Higgins is 43.6% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Higgins shoots left. Barzal is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,699).
Home / Away
Higgins
Barzal
Home
41.7% (139)
43.1% (1,895)
Away
41.9% (117)
40.9% (1,901)
By Period
Higgins
Barzal
P1
41.0%
40.7%
P2
43.8%
44.4%
P3
41.5%
41.0%
OT
28.6%
27.6%
Final 5 min
37.1%
39.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Higgins
42.0%▬
41.0%
41.8%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.0%