Scouting Report
Jacob Josefson holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Josefson 45.5% vs Barzal 43.4% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 72.1%
Defensive zone
Barzal 51.3%
Neutral zone
Barzal 54.6%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Josefson
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Josefson
Barzal
Last 6: Josefson 2-4 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
1
Josefson
Barzal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Josefson
1
0
Josefson
Barzal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
3
Josefson
Barzal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Josefson
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (272)
42.3% (813)
+2.6%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
47.4% (19)
+27.6%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (43)
100.0% (2)
-65.1%
On penalty kill, Barzal has a +65.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Josefson is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (116).
Josefson shoots left. Barzal is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Josefson
Barzal
Home
43.5% (168)
44.3% (436)
Away
44.7% (152)
40.7% (398)
By Period
Josefson
Barzal
P1
42.1%
39.7%
P2
46.0%
44.3%
P3
44.0%
44.2%
Final 5 min
52.5%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.1%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2017 | 3 | 11:33 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 2 | 09:43 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 1 | 13:05 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 1 | 12:56 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 07:14 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 07:00 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |