Leon Draisaitl vs Mathew Barzal
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Draisaitl wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.3% vs Barzal 42.2% (+11.3%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 16-5 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 96.5%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 93.4%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 97.0%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 95.6%
95.6%
4.4%
Draisaitl
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
5
(21 meetings)
16
5
Draisaitl
Barzal
Last 10: Draisaitl 7-3 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
7
2
Draisaitl
Barzal
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
5
2
Draisaitl
Barzal
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
4
1
Draisaitl
Barzal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (10,240)
41.9% (3,565)
+11.0%
Power Play
55.7% (2,827)
43.4% (205)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (977)
42.3% (26)
+8.9%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Draisaitl is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,098).
Draisaitl shoots left. Barzal is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,699).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Barzal
Home
54.6% (7,049)
43.1% (1,895)
Away
52.0% (6,995)
40.9% (1,901)
By Period
Draisaitl
Barzal
P1
52.7%
40.7%
P2
53.6%
44.4%
P3
53.4%
41.0%
OT
57.0%
27.6%
Final 5 min
52.0%
39.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 19:18 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 16:22 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 13:13 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 13:15 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 02:55 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 00:06 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 08:33 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:52 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:45 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 15:01 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 00:39 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 00:18 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 11, 2022 | 3 | 09:14 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 05:10 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 13:18 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 2 | 16:50 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 2 | 09:38 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 1 | 03:32 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |