Scouting Report
Lucas Wallmark holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Wallmark on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wallmark 50.9% vs Barzal 42.8% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wallmark 76.5%
Defensive zone
Wallmark 92.1%
Neutral zone
Wallmark 91.2%
Result
Lucas Wallmark favored at 88.3%
88.3%
11.7%
Wallmark
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
0
(9 meetings)
9
0
Wallmark
Barzal
Last 9: Wallmark 9-0 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
2
0
Wallmark
Barzal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
3
0
Wallmark
Barzal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wallmark
4
0
Wallmark
Barzal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wallmark
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (956)
41.9% (516)
+9.9%
Power Play
44.1% (59)
40.0% (60)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (114)
25.0% (4)
+22.4%
On penalty kill, Wallmark has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Wallmark is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Wallmark shoots left. Barzal is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Home / Away
Wallmark
Barzal
Home
52.5% (579)
46.9% (303)
Away
49.3% (550)
35.7% (277)
By Period
Wallmark
Barzal
P1
54.4%
39.9%
P2
48.8%
45.1%
P3
50.1%
39.9%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.7%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.9%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
41.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2019 | 1 | 15:10 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 2 | 13:24 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 1 | 09:01 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 3 | 11:09 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 3 | 05:09 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 2 | 16:12 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 2 | 12:48 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 1 | 01:09 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 3 | 09:07 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |