Scouting Report
Luke Kunin holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Kunin wins 43.9% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 46.0% vs Barzal 42.8% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 62.6%
Defensive zone
Barzal 65.9%
Neutral zone
Barzal 63.4%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 63.6%
36.4%
63.6%
Kunin
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Kunin
Barzal
Last 8: Kunin 2-6 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
1
Kunin
Barzal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
1
Kunin
Barzal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barzal
2
4
Kunin
Barzal
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
40.5% (168)
41.9% (516)
-1.4%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
40.0% (60)
+26.7%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (14)
25.0% (4)
+32.1%
On penalty kill, Kunin has a +32.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Kunin is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (98).
Kunin shoots right. Barzal is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Home / Away
Kunin
Barzal
Home
38.9% (113)
46.9% (303)
Away
50.6% (87)
35.7% (277)
By Period
Kunin
Barzal
P1
47.2%
39.9%
P2
47.6%
45.1%
P3
37.5%
39.9%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
32.6%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
44.0%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
41.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2019 | 3 | 17:05 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 3 | 13:59 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 3 | 07:15 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 3 | 00:30 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 2 | 11:11 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 2 | 03:57 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 2 | 00:57 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 1 | 09:28 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |