Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 41.4% vs Bjugstad 49.9% (-10.1%)
Offensive zone
Barzal 68.8%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 62.0%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 51.5%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Barzal
Bjugstad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (456)
50.9% (212)
-10.5%
Power Play
34.2% (38)
40.0% (5)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
44.1% (34)
-15.5%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Barzal is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (112).
Barzal shoots right. Bjugstad is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (49).
Home / Away
Barzal
Bjugstad
Home
38.0% (242)
52.3% (151)
Away
41.3% (259)
46.0% (100)
By Period
Barzal
Bjugstad
P1
46.6%
44.9%
P2
35.4%
56.8%
P3
38.0%
48.3%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
40.5%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
39.7%
Bjugstad
44.0%▼
49.0%
49.8%