Scouting Report
Riley Sheahan holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Sheahan on defensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 14 meetings). Barzal wins 41.9% vs left-shot opponents — Sheahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 42.2% vs Sheahan 50.1% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Sheahan leads 18-12 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Barzal 86.6%
Defensive zone
Barzal 66.1%
Neutral zone
Barzal 81.5%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 75.3%
75.3%
24.7%
Barzal
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
18
(30 meetings)
12
18
Barzal
Sheahan
Last 10: Barzal 5-5 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
4
2
Barzal
Sheahan
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
3
11
Barzal
Sheahan
14 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Barzal
Sheahan
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (3,558)
51.0% (4,968)
-9.1%
Power Play
43.4% (205)
55.6% (322)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
44.3% (1,068)
-2.0%
On power play, Sheahan has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Barzal is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,695).
Barzal shoots right. Sheahan is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,365).
Home / Away
Barzal
Sheahan
Home
43.1% (1,893)
51.1% (3,247)
Away
40.9% (1,896)
49.0% (3,111)
By Period
Barzal
Sheahan
P1
40.6%
51.3%
P2
44.4%
51.2%
P3
41.0%
48.1%
OT
27.6%
35.6%
Final 5 min
39.9%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
42.0%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 17:08 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 13:23 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 09:41 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 02:54 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 17:41 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 18:42 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 1 | 10:09 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 3 | 08:17 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 10:36 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 2 | 03:11 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 1 | 03:33 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 12:45 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 3 | 18:58 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 2 | 04:11 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 2 | 03:07 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 1 | 13:18 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 1 | 18:40 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 3 | 17:31 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |