Scouting Report
Tim Stützle holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 42.0% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 42.2% vs Stützle 45.7% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stützle 64.3%
Defensive zone
Stützle 75.0%
Neutral zone
Stützle 74.9%
Result
Tim Stützle favored at 72.8%
27.2%
72.8%
Barzal
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Barzal
Stützle
Last 5: Barzal 5-0 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
0
Barzal
Stützle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
2
0
Barzal
Stützle
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barzal
2
0
Barzal
Stützle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (3,571)
45.1% (2,308)
-3.2%
Power Play
43.4% (205)
54.9% (102)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
47.7% (88)
-5.4%
On power play, Stützle has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Barzal is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,704).
Barzal shoots right. Stützle is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (998).
Home / Away
Barzal
Stützle
Home
43.2% (1,901)
47.5% (1,285)
Away
40.9% (1,901)
43.4% (1,213)
By Period
Barzal
Stützle
P1
40.6%
47.0%
P2
44.6%
45.3%
P3
41.1%
44.2%
OT
27.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
40.0%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
42.0%
Stützle
50.0%▬
49.5%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2023 | 1 | 09:12 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 1 | 04:43 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 13:22 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 12:26 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 03:43 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |