Scouting Report
Travis Boyd holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Barzal wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 42.2% vs Boyd 44.1% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 51.1%
Defensive zone
Boyd 71.6%
Neutral zone
Boyd 62.8%
Result
Travis Boyd favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
Barzal
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Barzal
Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barzal
3
1
Barzal
Boyd
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (3,565)
44.4% (2,186)
-2.5%
Power Play
43.4% (205)
46.5% (256)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
35.6% (208)
+6.7%
On penalty kill, Barzal has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Barzal is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,097).
Barzal shoots right. Boyd is 43.5% vs right-shot opponents (813).
Home / Away
Barzal
Boyd
Home
43.1% (1,895)
46.3% (1,327)
Away
40.9% (1,901)
41.5% (1,324)
By Period
Barzal
Boyd
P1
40.7%
41.7%
P2
44.4%
46.2%
P3
41.0%
44.0%
OT
27.6%
22.2%
Final 5 min
39.9%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.0%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2022 | 1 | 02:59 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 1 | 05:09 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 3 | 14:21 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 1 | 03:49 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |