Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings). Barzal wins 37.7% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 44.9% vs Zajac 51.2% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Zajac leads 14-9 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Barzal 87.4%
Defensive zone
Barzal 70.7%
Neutral zone
Barzal 78.7%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 81.4%
81.4%
18.6%
Barzal
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
14
(23 meetings)
9
14
Barzal
Zajac
Last 10: Barzal 2-8 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
6
3
Barzal
Zajac
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
2
Barzal
Zajac
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
3
9
Barzal
Zajac
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (314)
53.5% (480)
-10.2%
Power Play
45.5% (33)
48.4% (62)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
37.7% (61)
-4.4%
On even strength, Zajac has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Barzal is 37.7% vs right-shot opponents (146).
Barzal shoots right. Zajac is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Barzal
Zajac
Home
39.9% (168)
51.7% (352)
Away
46.7% (182)
51.0% (251)
By Period
Barzal
Zajac
P1
39.0%
45.0%
P2
49.1%
61.5%
P3
43.3%
46.0%
OT
25.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
30.5%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
43.4%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2021 | 3 | 00:45 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 2 | 11:32 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 2 | 01:05 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 1 | 06:05 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 1 | 03:38 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 15:34 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 15:24 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 10:49 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 1 | 03:15 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 3 | 15:46 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 3 | 09:40 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 2 | 13:50 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 1 | 15:58 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 1 | 15:53 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 1 | 05:57 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 3 | 07:57 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 3 | 04:51 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |