Scouting Report
Carl Soderberg holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Soderberg on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 51.1% vs Joseph 43.9% (+13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Soderberg 78.3%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 94.8%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 75.2%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 87.6%
87.6%
12.4%
Soderberg
Joseph
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Soderberg
Joseph
Last 5: Soderberg 4-1 Joseph
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
1
0
Soderberg
Joseph
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
3
0
Soderberg
Joseph
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Joseph
0
1
Soderberg
Joseph
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Joseph
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (296)
38.9% (108)
+12.5%
Power Play
49.2% (65)
50.0% (2)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (30)
0.0% (2)
+56.7%
On penalty kill, Soderberg has a +56.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Joseph shoots left. Soderberg is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Soderberg shoots left. Joseph is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Joseph
Home
53.2% (190)
38.0% (50)
Away
49.8% (201)
38.7% (62)
By Period
Soderberg
Joseph
P1
48.6%
38.5%
P2
53.3%
25.6%
P3
51.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
51.8%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
51.4%
Joseph
42.0%▬
41.0%
38.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 17:38 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 02:17 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 1 | 05:34 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 07:51 | Neutral | Mathieu Joseph |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 13:02 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |