Auston Matthews vs Mathieu Perreault
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mathieu Perreault holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Perreault on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthews wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Perreault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 47.1% vs Perreault 50.9% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 65.6%
Defensive zone
Perreault 51.9%
Neutral zone
Matthews 55.0%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Matthews
Perreault
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Matthews
Perreault
Last 6: Matthews 1-5 Perreault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Perreault
0
1
Matthews
Perreault
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Perreault
0
2
Matthews
Perreault
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Perreault
1
2
Matthews
Perreault
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Perreault
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (1,000)
47.6% (147)
-1.4%
Power Play
53.6% (125)
63.4% (41)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
100.0% (1)
-85.7%
On penalty kill, Perreault has a +85.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Perreault shoots left. Matthews is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (683).
Matthews shoots left. Perreault is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (135).
Home / Away
Matthews
Perreault
Home
48.4% (562)
57.0% (121)
Away
45.3% (570)
41.2% (68)
By Period
Matthews
Perreault
P1
51.3%
56.9%
P2
44.5%
42.1%
P3
44.6%
53.4%
OT
55.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
61.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
46.8%
Perreault
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2016 | 3 | 05:04 | Defensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Oct 19, 2016 | 2 | 17:03 | Defensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Oct 19, 2016 | 2 | 13:04 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |
| Oct 19, 2016 | 1 | 15:05 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 19, 2016 | 1 | 15:00 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |
| Oct 19, 2016 | 1 | 12:01 | Offensive | Mathieu Perreault |