Jason Spezza vs Mathieu Perreault
2011-12 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Perreault on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Spezza wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Perreault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.3% vs Perreault 50.6% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Perreault 55.2%
Defensive zone
Perreault 69.3%
Neutral zone
Perreault 59.5%
Result
Mathieu Perreault favored at 62.5%
37.5%
62.5%
Spezza
Perreault
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Spezza
Perreault
Last 7: Spezza 2-5 Perreault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Spezza
Perreault
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Perreault
1
2
Spezza
Perreault
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Perreault
0
2
Spezza
Perreault
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Perreault
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (1,283)
51.8% (413)
+2.0%
Power Play
52.8% (303)
36.4% (33)
+16.4%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (89)
0.0% (1)
+49.4%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +49.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Perreault shoots left. Spezza is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,197).
Spezza shoots right. Perreault is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (149).
Home / Away
Spezza
Perreault
Home
56.4% (853)
50.0% (212)
Away
50.5% (847)
51.5% (239)
By Period
Spezza
Perreault
P1
53.4%
49.0%
P2
54.2%
47.8%
P3
53.4%
56.2%
Final 5 min
52.7%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Perreault
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2012 | 3 | 14:49 | Defensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Feb 22, 2012 | 3 | 14:41 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |
| Feb 22, 2012 | 3 | 12:05 | Defensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Feb 22, 2012 | 1 | 16:39 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 7, 2011 | 2 | 19:23 | Offensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Dec 7, 2011 | 1 | 07:31 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |
| Dec 7, 2011 | 1 | 03:30 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |