Jason Spezza vs Mathieu Perreault
2014-15 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Perreault on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Spezza wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Perreault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.7% vs Perreault 51.3% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Perreault 52.5%
Defensive zone
Perreault 65.0%
Neutral zone
Perreault 61.2%
Result
Mathieu Perreault favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
Spezza
Perreault
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Spezza
Perreault
Last 5: Spezza 1-4 Perreault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Perreault
0
1
Spezza
Perreault
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Perreault
1
2
Spezza
Perreault
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Perreault
0
1
Spezza
Perreault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Perreault
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (998)
50.9% (328)
+2.1%
Power Play
58.5% (248)
52.0% (102)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
85.7% (7)
-35.7%
On penalty kill, Perreault has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Perreault shoots left. Spezza is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Spezza shoots right. Perreault is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (203).
Home / Away
Spezza
Perreault
Home
56.4% (626)
55.0% (218)
Away
51.7% (636)
48.2% (220)
By Period
Spezza
Perreault
P1
56.9%
49.3%
P2
51.9%
47.7%
P3
53.9%
59.7%
OT
46.2%
38.5%
Final 5 min
54.7%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Perreault
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2015 | 3 | 05:48 | Defensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 2 | 00:58 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 1 | 17:34 | Defensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 1 | 05:51 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 1 | 14:47 | Offensive | Mathieu Perreault |