Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 51.7%). Look for Perreault on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Goc wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Perreault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goc 51.9% vs Perreault 51.3% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Perreault 54.5%
Defensive zone
Goc 51.1%
Neutral zone
Perreault 50.2%
Result
Mathieu Perreault favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Goc
Perreault
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Goc
Perreault
Last 6: Goc 2-4 Perreault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Perreault
1
2
Goc
Perreault
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Perreault
1
2
Goc
Perreault
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goc
Perreault
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (591)
51.9% (297)
-0.6%
Power Play
62.8% (78)
51.9% (27)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (117)
0.0% (1)
+49.6%
On penalty kill, Goc has a +49.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Perreault shoots left. Goc is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Goc shoots left. Perreault is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Goc
Perreault
Home
51.1% (393)
55.4% (184)
Away
53.2% (393)
46.8% (141)
By Period
Goc
Perreault
P1
51.0%
61.5%
P2
57.8%
48.7%
P3
48.7%
45.4%
Final 5 min
55.3%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.2%
Perreault
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2013 | 3 | 15:49 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 1 | 15:45 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 3 | 17:54 | Offensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 2 | 07:41 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 2 | 04:09 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 1 | 09:11 | Offensive | Mathieu Perreault |