Scouting Report
Max Talbot holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Talbot on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Perreault wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Talbot shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perreault 46.7% vs Talbot 48.8% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Perreault 72.4%
Defensive zone
Talbot 59.1%
Neutral zone
Perreault 60.4%
Result
Mathieu Perreault favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Perreault
Talbot
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Perreault
Talbot
Last 5: Perreault 1-4 Talbot
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Perreault
Talbot
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
0
3
Perreault
Talbot
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perreault
Talbot
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (261)
50.5% (642)
-4.9%
Power Play
48.6% (35)
33.3% (18)
+15.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
43.5% (207)
-43.5%
On penalty kill, Talbot has a +43.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Talbot shoots left. Perreault is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (184).
Perreault shoots left. Talbot is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (556).
Home / Away
Perreault
Talbot
Home
42.3% (156)
49.9% (427)
Away
49.0% (149)
47.4% (447)
By Period
Perreault
Talbot
P1
48.6%
48.4%
P2
42.7%
48.5%
P3
44.9%
48.8%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
33.3%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perreault
48.0%▼
51.0%
45.6%
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2011 | 1 | 11:38 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Feb 21, 2011 | 1 | 09:08 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Feb 6, 2011 | 1 | 17:55 | Offensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 1 | 01:28 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 1 | 13:02 | Defensive | Max Talbot |