Mathieu Perreault vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mathieu Perreault holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Perreault on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perreault 50.8% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Perreault leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Perreault 62.1%
Defensive zone
Perreault 51.7%
Neutral zone
Perreault 58.3%
Result
Mathieu Perreault favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Perreault
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
10
(22 meetings)
12
10
Perreault
MacKinnon
Last 10: Perreault 4-6 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
3
Perreault
MacKinnon
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Perreault
6
4
Perreault
MacKinnon
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Perreault
4
3
Perreault
MacKinnon
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perreault
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (2,465)
46.1% (11,218)
+4.6%
Power Play
52.2% (454)
53.3% (1,412)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (25)
42.8% (502)
+1.2%
On even strength, Perreault has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Perreault is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,146).
Perreault shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
Home / Away
Perreault
MacKinnon
Home
52.1% (1,474)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
49.6% (1,482)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Perreault
MacKinnon
P1
52.4%
47.4%
P2
48.6%
46.6%
P3
51.8%
46.1%
OT
43.3%
48.4%
Final 5 min
51.1%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perreault
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.8%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2019 | 1 | 06:25 | Defensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Jan 2, 2018 | OT | 04:16 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 2, 2018 | OT | 04:03 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 2 | 15:05 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 2 | 02:29 | Offensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 1 | 16:07 | Offensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 3 | 12:19 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 3 | 19:49 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 5, 2014 | 1 | 00:48 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 26, 2014 | OT | 02:05 | Defensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Oct 26, 2014 | 2 | 13:50 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 26, 2014 | 1 | 16:03 | Defensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 3 | 10:44 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 3 | 10:36 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 2, 2013 | 3 | 18:53 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |
| Oct 2, 2013 | 3 | 11:25 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |
| Oct 2, 2013 | 3 | 11:14 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |
| Oct 2, 2013 | 2 | 09:12 | Defensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Oct 2, 2013 | 2 | 04:25 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 2, 2013 | 1 | 19:19 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |