Mathieu Perreault vs Nathan MacKinnon
2014-15 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mathieu Perreault holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Perreault on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perreault 51.3% vs MacKinnon 47.5% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 53.2%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 52.7%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 52.2%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Perreault
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Perreault
MacKinnon
Last 5: Perreault 2-3 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Perreault
MacKinnon
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Perreault
2
1
Perreault
MacKinnon
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Perreault
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perreault
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (328)
45.2% (365)
+5.7%
Power Play
52.0% (102)
57.1% (63)
-5.1%
On even strength, Perreault has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Perreault is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (203).
Perreault shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Perreault
MacKinnon
Home
55.0% (218)
48.0% (225)
Away
48.2% (220)
45.8% (203)
By Period
Perreault
MacKinnon
P1
49.3%
41.1%
P2
47.7%
49.6%
P3
59.7%
48.9%
OT
38.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.7%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perreault
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.6%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2014 | 3 | 19:49 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 5, 2014 | 1 | 00:48 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 26, 2014 | OT | 02:05 | Defensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Oct 26, 2014 | 2 | 13:50 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 26, 2014 | 1 | 16:03 | Defensive | Mathieu Perreault |