Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Perreault wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perreault 46.7% vs Bonino 48.1% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Perreault 57.6%
Defensive zone
Perreault 58.1%
Neutral zone
Perreault 58.0%
Result
Mathieu Perreault favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Perreault
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Perreault
Bonino
Last 6: Perreault 1-5 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Perreault
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
2
Perreault
Bonino
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
2
Perreault
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perreault
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (261)
48.0% (150)
-2.4%
Power Play
48.6% (35)
44.4% (9)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
0.0% (4)
+0.0%
On power play, Perreault has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Perreault is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (184).
Perreault shoots left. Bonino is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Perreault
Bonino
Home
42.3% (156)
46.9% (98)
Away
49.0% (149)
47.1% (68)
By Period
Perreault
Bonino
P1
48.6%
55.6%
P2
42.7%
50.8%
P3
44.9%
36.4%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
33.3%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perreault
48.0%▼
51.0%
45.6%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2010 | 3 | 12:15 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 2 | 04:12 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 2 | 01:22 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 1 | 16:07 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 1 | 09:41 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 1 | 03:03 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |