Mathieu Perreault vs Paul Gaustad
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perreault 47.5% vs Gaustad 54.7% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Perreault 92.3%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 87.0%
Neutral zone
Perreault 52.9%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Perreault
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Perreault
Gaustad
Last 5: Perreault 2-3 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Perreault
1
0
Perreault
Gaustad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
3
Perreault
Gaustad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Perreault
1
0
Perreault
Gaustad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perreault
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (157)
56.2% (603)
-7.2%
Power Play
40.0% (40)
71.4% (21)
-31.4%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
49.3% (148)
-32.6%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +32.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Perreault is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (111).
Perreault shoots left. Gaustad is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Home / Away
Perreault
Gaustad
Home
45.2% (93)
55.5% (366)
Away
47.3% (110)
55.2% (406)
By Period
Perreault
Gaustad
P1
51.3%
55.0%
P2
50.8%
56.9%
P3
36.7%
53.7%
OT
25.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
51.9%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perreault
48.0%▼
51.0%
46.3%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2016 | 3 | 08:26 | Offensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 19:08 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 06:03 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 04:17 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 00:36 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |