Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perreault 51.3% vs Kesler 56.0% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Perreault 72.1%
Defensive zone
Perreault 65.0%
Neutral zone
Perreault 67.3%
Result
Mathieu Perreault favored at 69.0%
69.0%
31.0%
Perreault
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Perreault
Kesler
Last 7: Perreault 2-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Perreault
Kesler
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
3
Perreault
Kesler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perreault
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (328)
57.4% (1,185)
-6.5%
Power Play
52.0% (102)
58.0% (243)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
85.7% (7)
49.2% (236)
+36.5%
On penalty kill, Perreault has a +36.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Perreault is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (203).
Perreault shoots left. Kesler is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,075).
Home / Away
Perreault
Kesler
Home
55.0% (218)
58.5% (793)
Away
48.2% (220)
54.3% (871)
By Period
Perreault
Kesler
P1
49.3%
57.0%
P2
47.7%
55.4%
P3
59.7%
56.7%
OT
38.5%
54.8%
Final 5 min
45.7%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perreault
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.6%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2015 | 3 | 15:32 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 11, 2015 | 2 | 19:37 | Offensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Jan 11, 2015 | 2 | 15:00 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 11, 2015 | 1 | 04:45 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 09:36 | Offensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 1 | 06:45 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 7, 2014 | 3 | 17:06 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |