Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Perreault on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perreault 50.8% vs Ott 55.4% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ott 58.7%
Defensive zone
Ott 91.2%
Neutral zone
Ott 76.8%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 70.6%
29.4%
70.6%
Perreault
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Perreault
Ott
Last 7: Perreault 5-2 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Perreault
4
0
Perreault
Ott
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
0
2
Perreault
Ott
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Perreault
1
0
Perreault
Ott
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perreault
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (2,465)
57.2% (2,802)
-6.5%
Power Play
52.2% (454)
55.4% (567)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (25)
49.9% (853)
-5.9%
On even strength, Ott has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Perreault is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,810).
Perreault shoots left. Ott is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,552).
Home / Away
Perreault
Ott
Home
52.1% (1,474)
56.8% (2,130)
Away
49.6% (1,482)
54.2% (2,103)
By Period
Perreault
Ott
P1
52.4%
56.7%
P2
48.6%
53.9%
P3
51.8%
55.7%
OT
43.3%
60.8%
Final 5 min
51.1%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perreault
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.8%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2014 | 3 | 02:25 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 1 | 09:22 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 3 | 10:46 | Offensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 2 | 06:47 | Offensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Mar 17, 2013 | 3 | 16:50 | Offensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Mar 17, 2013 | 2 | 16:16 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 2 | 12:14 | Offensive | Mathieu Perreault |