Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Perreault on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Perreault wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perreault 51.3% vs Ott 54.8% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ott 65.7%
Defensive zone
Ott 88.6%
Neutral zone
Ott 78.4%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 70.2%
29.8%
70.2%
Perreault
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Perreault
Ott
Last 5: Perreault 4-1 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Perreault
4
0
Perreault
Ott
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
0
1
Perreault
Ott
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perreault
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (297)
54.8% (305)
-2.9%
Power Play
51.9% (27)
56.8% (95)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
57.0% (135)
-57.0%
On penalty kill, Ott has a +57.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Perreault is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Perreault shoots left. Ott is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Perreault
Ott
Home
55.4% (184)
58.7% (271)
Away
46.8% (141)
52.7% (264)
By Period
Perreault
Ott
P1
61.5%
60.4%
P2
48.7%
54.0%
P3
45.4%
52.6%
Final 5 min
52.9%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perreault
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.7%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2013 | 3 | 10:46 | Offensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 2 | 06:47 | Offensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Mar 17, 2013 | 3 | 16:50 | Offensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Mar 17, 2013 | 2 | 16:16 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 2 | 12:14 | Offensive | Mathieu Perreault |