Scouting Report
Mathieu Perreault holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Perreault on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perreault 50.6% vs Ennis 46.9% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Perreault 53.0%
Defensive zone
Perreault 69.3%
Neutral zone
Perreault 59.5%
Result
Mathieu Perreault favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Perreault
Ennis
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Perreault
Ennis
Last 5: Perreault 4-1 Ennis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Perreault
1
0
Perreault
Ennis
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Perreault
1
0
Perreault
Ennis
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Perreault
2
1
Perreault
Ennis
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perreault
Ennis
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (413)
45.6% (285)
+6.2%
Power Play
36.4% (33)
50.0% (24)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
60.0% (5)
-60.0%
On penalty kill, Ennis has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ennis shoots left. Perreault is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Perreault shoots left. Ennis is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Home / Away
Perreault
Ennis
Home
50.0% (212)
53.1% (175)
Away
51.5% (239)
36.9% (141)
By Period
Perreault
Ennis
P1
49.0%
40.0%
P2
47.8%
50.5%
P3
56.2%
48.5%
Final 5 min
54.4%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perreault
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.8%
Ennis
60.0%▲
43.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2012 | 3 | 01:13 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 2 | 05:03 | Offensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 1 | 08:45 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 1 | 06:36 | Defensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 1 | 06:19 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |