Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boldy 48.4% vs Johnston 48.1% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boldy 68.4%
Defensive zone
Johnston 66.5%
Neutral zone
Johnston 55.7%
Result
Matt Boldy favored at 68.4%
68.4%
31.6%
Boldy
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Boldy
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Boldy
Johnston
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boldy
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (50)
47.2% (458)
+8.8%
Power Play
36.1% (36)
50.9% (55)
-14.8%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
51.6% (31)
-26.6%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +26.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Boldy is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (33).
Boldy shoots left. Johnston is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (408).
Home / Away
Boldy
Johnston
Home
45.5% (55)
47.7% (243)
Away
48.6% (35)
47.8% (301)
By Period
Boldy
Johnston
P1
42.5%
48.0%
P2
42.3%
48.2%
P3
56.5%
48.0%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.5%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boldy
52.0%▲
45.5%
46.7%
Johnston
44.0%▼
47.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 19:48 | Offensive | Matt Boldy |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 03:10 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |