Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Calvert wins 38.6% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Calvert 42.9% vs Novak 43.6% (-3.4%)
Offensive zone
Novak 58.4%
Defensive zone
Calvert 63.7%
Neutral zone
Novak 53.3%
Result
Matt Calvert favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Calvert
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Calvert
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (178)
42.2% (1,366)
-6.8%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
53.3% (120)
+13.4%
Penalty Kill
52.4% (42)
50.0% (2)
+2.4%
On power play, Calvert has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Calvert is 38.6% vs left-shot opponents (145).
Calvert shoots left. Novak is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (955).
Home / Away
Calvert
Novak
Home
41.1% (112)
46.0% (737)
Away
38.5% (117)
40.3% (751)
By Period
Calvert
Novak
P1
33.3%
43.9%
P2
44.3%
44.2%
P3
40.7%
40.9%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
36.7%
40.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Calvert
42.0%▲
39.5%
39.7%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
43.1%