Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 49.4% vs Cullen 51.1% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 76.2%
Defensive zone
Cullen 72.2%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 52.5%
Result
Cal O'Reilly favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
O'Reilly
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
O'Reilly
Cullen
Last 5: O'Reilly 2-3 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
O'Reilly
Cullen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
0
1
O'Reilly
Cullen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
O'Reilly
Cullen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (56)
54.0% (648)
-7.6%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
58.3% (24)
+1.7%
On even strength, Cullen has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. O'Reilly is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (48).
O'Reilly shoots left. Cullen is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (524).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Cullen
Home
53.7% (41)
52.9% (416)
Away
40.0% (25)
49.7% (443)
By Period
O'Reilly
Cullen
P1
40.0%
53.5%
P2
60.0%
51.3%
P3
37.5%
49.2%
Final 5 min
41.7%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
48.5%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2016 | 3 | 12:49 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 3 | 05:46 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 2 | 09:25 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 2 | 04:38 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 2 | 01:15 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |