Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 50.0%). Look for Cullen on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 49.4% vs Cullen 50.0% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rowney 78.7%
Defensive zone
Cullen 80.1%
Neutral zone
Cullen 51.4%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Rowney
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Rowney
Cullen
Last 6: Rowney 3-3 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rowney
1
0
Rowney
Cullen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rowney
1
0
Rowney
Cullen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cullen
1
3
Rowney
Cullen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (298)
49.8% (482)
-0.1%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
60.0% (5)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (46)
50.3% (153)
-4.6%
On power play, Rowney has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Rowney is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (249).
Rowney shoots right. Cullen is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Home / Away
Rowney
Cullen
Home
51.0% (143)
53.4% (311)
Away
48.0% (204)
46.8% (329)
By Period
Rowney
Cullen
P1
49.6%
51.1%
P2
47.7%
47.9%
P3
50.9%
51.8%
OT
0.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
49.3%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2019 | 3 | 19:11 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 3 | 19:02 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 3 | 10:21 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 2 | 10:20 | Offensive | Carter Rowney |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 2 | 04:54 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 2 | 08:04 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |