Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Cullen on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kelly wins 41.5% vs left-shot opponents — Cullen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 45.4% vs Cullen 51.1% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kelly 78.8%
Defensive zone
Kelly 59.9%
Neutral zone
Kelly 70.7%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 73.8%
73.8%
26.2%
Kelly
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Kelly
Cullen
Last 7: Kelly 2-5 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
1
3
Kelly
Cullen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
0
1
Kelly
Cullen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Cullen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (373)
54.0% (648)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (128)
40.6% (187)
-4.7%
On even strength, Cullen has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Kelly is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Kelly shoots left. Cullen is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (524).
Home / Away
Kelly
Cullen
Home
47.5% (259)
52.9% (416)
Away
41.3% (242)
49.7% (443)
By Period
Kelly
Cullen
P1
46.7%
53.5%
P2
42.9%
51.3%
P3
43.4%
49.2%
Final 5 min
42.2%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
44.5%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 05:08 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 1 | 13:26 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 1 | 13:17 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 3 | 02:26 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 2 | 13:40 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 1 | 00:24 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 5, 2016 | 3 | 17:32 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |