Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stafford on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Stafford wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Cullen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stafford 52.5% vs Cullen 56.0% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cullen 88.8%
Defensive zone
Cullen 82.3%
Neutral zone
Cullen 80.3%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 87.7%
12.3%
87.7%
Stafford
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Stafford
Cullen
Last 6: Stafford 5-1 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stafford
5
0
Stafford
Cullen
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
0
1
Stafford
Cullen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stafford
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (155)
56.2% (635)
+0.6%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
61.9% (105)
-14.3%
Penalty Kill
38.1% (21)
50.0% (32)
-11.9%
On power play, Cullen has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Stafford is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (123).
Stafford shoots right. Cullen is 57.8% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Home / Away
Stafford
Cullen
Home
58.4% (89)
58.2% (380)
Away
50.0% (108)
55.4% (392)
By Period
Stafford
Cullen
P1
65.5%
56.1%
P2
47.9%
57.9%
P3
49.3%
56.3%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.7%
61.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stafford
40.0%▼
47.0%
53.8%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2014 | 3 | 07:26 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Mar 27, 2014 | 2 | 04:05 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 27, 2014 | 1 | 14:28 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Mar 27, 2014 | 1 | 03:12 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 3 | 15:11 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 2 | 07:09 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |