Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Kuznetsov wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Cullen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.7% vs Cullen 50.3% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 84.9%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 69.7%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 74.4%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 76.7%
76.7%
23.3%
Kuznetsov
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kuznetsov
Cullen
Last 5: Kuznetsov 1-4 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kuznetsov
Cullen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
0
2
Kuznetsov
Cullen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cullen
0
1
Kuznetsov
Cullen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (980)
50.1% (637)
-5.7%
Power Play
38.7% (31)
50.0% (8)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
53.3% (60)
-10.4%
On power play, Cullen has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Kuznetsov is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (673).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Cullen is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (426).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Cullen
Home
46.4% (491)
50.5% (400)
Away
42.1% (527)
50.2% (305)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Cullen
P1
44.8%
49.8%
P2
44.6%
48.8%
P3
44.0%
52.9%
OT
23.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.2%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2018 | 3 | 18:58 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 2 | 03:59 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 2 | 00:59 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 1 | 04:12 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 1 | 03:58 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |