Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Josefson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Josefson wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Cullen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Josefson 45.5% vs Cullen 50.3% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cullen 86.7%
Defensive zone
Cullen 65.5%
Neutral zone
Cullen 76.9%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 80.2%
19.8%
80.2%
Josefson
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Josefson
Cullen
Last 6: Josefson 4-2 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Josefson
Cullen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Josefson
3
1
Josefson
Cullen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Josefson
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (272)
50.1% (637)
-5.2%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
50.0% (8)
+25.0%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (43)
53.3% (60)
-18.4%
On power play, Josefson has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Josefson is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Josefson shoots left. Cullen is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (426).
Home / Away
Josefson
Cullen
Home
43.5% (168)
50.5% (400)
Away
44.7% (152)
50.2% (305)
By Period
Josefson
Cullen
P1
42.1%
49.8%
P2
46.0%
48.8%
P3
44.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
52.5%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.1%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2018 | 3 | 06:31 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 3 | 06:23 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 2 | 02:44 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 1 | 13:53 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 3 | 04:04 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 05:15 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |