Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Matt Cullen
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Cullen on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Pageau wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Cullen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 52.0% vs Cullen 55.2% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 63.4%
Defensive zone
Pageau 53.9%
Neutral zone
Pageau 58.0%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Pageau
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Pageau
Cullen
Last 8: Pageau 2-6 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Cullen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
1
3
Pageau
Cullen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cullen
0
2
Pageau
Cullen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (882)
59.1% (783)
-5.0%
Power Play
45.0% (60)
60.7% (28)
-15.7%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (235)
43.8% (233)
+3.0%
On power play, Cullen has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Pageau is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Pageau shoots right. Cullen is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (380).
Home / Away
Pageau
Cullen
Home
54.7% (592)
59.0% (481)
Away
49.6% (585)
52.9% (563)
By Period
Pageau
Cullen
P1
51.0%
55.7%
P2
54.3%
53.1%
P3
51.8%
58.0%
OT
33.3%
83.3%
Final 5 min
47.4%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2016 | 1 | 15:43 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 3 | 19:48 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 3 | 19:24 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 3 | 06:10 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 2 | 19:08 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 2 | 11:56 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 2 | 11:51 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 1 | 01:59 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |