Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cullen on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Staal wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Cullen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.1% vs Cullen 56.0% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 60.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 60.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 60.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Staal
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Staal
Cullen
Last 6: Staal 2-4 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
2
3
Staal
Cullen
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cullen
0
1
Staal
Cullen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (1,171)
56.2% (635)
-0.9%
Power Play
56.6% (173)
61.9% (105)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (133)
50.0% (32)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Cullen has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Staal is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (972).
Staal shoots left. Cullen is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (502).
Home / Away
Staal
Cullen
Home
54.7% (720)
58.2% (380)
Away
54.0% (757)
55.4% (392)
By Period
Staal
Cullen
P1
51.2%
56.1%
P2
57.4%
57.9%
P3
54.6%
56.3%
OT
52.2%
66.7%
Final 5 min
59.0%
61.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.4%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2014 | 2 | 09:59 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 1 | 09:43 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 1 | 09:34 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 3 | 05:23 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 3 | 05:17 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 07:17 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |