Scouting Report
Jori Lehtera holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lehtera on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lehtera wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Cullen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lehtera 54.2% vs Cullen 50.3% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lehtera 52.9%
Defensive zone
Cullen 61.9%
Neutral zone
Cullen 54.2%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Lehtera
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Lehtera
Cullen
Last 7: Lehtera 3-4 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
0
2
Lehtera
Cullen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
2
1
Lehtera
Cullen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lehtera
Cullen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lehtera
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (142)
50.1% (637)
+7.6%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
50.0% (8)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
53.3% (60)
-20.0%
On penalty kill, Cullen has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Lehtera is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (106).
Lehtera shoots left. Cullen is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (426).
Home / Away
Lehtera
Cullen
Home
61.1% (90)
50.5% (400)
Away
50.8% (59)
50.2% (305)
By Period
Lehtera
Cullen
P1
62.2%
49.8%
P2
47.5%
48.8%
P3
64.4%
52.9%
Final 5 min
64.3%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
57.0%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2017 | 3 | 12:45 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 11:38 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 11:18 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 06:41 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 03:44 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 14:42 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 08:12 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |