Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Hayes wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Cullen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 46.1% vs Cullen 51.1% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Cullen 71.6%
Defensive zone
Cullen 88.2%
Neutral zone
Cullen 85.1%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 80.3%
19.7%
80.3%
Hayes
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Hayes
Cullen
Last 10: Hayes 7-3 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
4
0
Hayes
Cullen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
0
2
Hayes
Cullen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
3
1
Hayes
Cullen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (788)
54.0% (648)
-8.6%
Power Play
50.0% (56)
58.3% (24)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (124)
40.6% (187)
+4.6%
On even strength, Cullen has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Hayes is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Hayes shoots left. Cullen is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (524).
Home / Away
Hayes
Cullen
Home
46.6% (459)
52.9% (416)
Away
44.8% (509)
49.7% (443)
By Period
Hayes
Cullen
P1
43.0%
53.5%
P2
49.5%
51.3%
P3
44.7%
49.2%
OT
28.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.0%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
45.7%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2017 | 3 | 06:46 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 3 | 04:07 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 3 | 01:14 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 2 | 08:57 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 3 | 07:57 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 3 | 12:50 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 2 | 08:01 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 1 | 02:55 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 2 | 13:35 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 2 | 07:38 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |