Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.6% vs 54.2%). Look for Cullen on defensive-zone draws (72% H2H, 39 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 53.6% vs Duchene 54.1% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 50-50 in 100 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 69.4%
Defensive zone
Cullen 71.4%
Neutral zone
Cullen 54.5%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Cullen
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
50
-
50
(100 meetings)
50
50
Cullen
Duchene
Last 10: Cullen 5-5 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
10
25
Cullen
Duchene
35 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
28
11
Cullen
Duchene
39 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
12
14
Cullen
Duchene
26 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (5,371)
53.9% (10,396)
+0.9%
Power Play
52.3% (421)
56.9% (1,665)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (953)
49.1% (468)
-1.1%
On power play, Duchene has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Cullen is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,432).
Cullen shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Home / Away
Cullen
Duchene
Home
55.8% (3,288)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
51.6% (3,488)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Cullen
Duchene
P1
54.7%
54.5%
P2
52.8%
54.5%
P3
53.3%
53.4%
OT
62.7%
56.3%
Final 5 min
53.7%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2019 | 3 | 12:36 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 3 | 07:58 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 2 | 07:31 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 2 | 07:17 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 1 | 19:14 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 1 | 13:14 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 3 | 13:01 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 2 | 05:31 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 1 | 19:49 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 3 | 15:41 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 2 | 06:58 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 2 | 01:15 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 1 | 18:22 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 3 | 12:18 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 3 | 01:10 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 2 | 17:21 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 2 | 12:11 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |