Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cullen on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 53.0% vs Duchene 50.9% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Cullen leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Cullen 54.1%
Defensive zone
Cullen 89.3%
Neutral zone
Cullen 76.0%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 79.6%
79.6%
20.4%
Cullen
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Cullen
Duchene
Last 10: Cullen 7-3 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cullen
Duchene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
5
1
Cullen
Duchene
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cullen
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (915)
51.0% (357)
+5.0%
Power Play
43.1% (116)
53.6% (28)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (133)
50.0% (2)
-6.4%
On power play, Duchene has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Cullen is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (819).
Cullen shoots left. Duchene is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Cullen
Duchene
Home
56.9% (559)
51.0% (208)
Away
49.9% (619)
51.4% (183)
By Period
Cullen
Duchene
P1
56.6%
53.3%
P2
51.6%
53.4%
P3
50.5%
44.6%
OT
69.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.5%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
53.2%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2012 | 2 | 14:38 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 1 | 08:37 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 1 | 06:44 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 1 | 05:09 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 1 | 04:49 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 3 | 06:21 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 2 | 05:43 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 1 | 13:26 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 1 | 00:46 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 1 | 10:55 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |