Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lapierre on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cullen wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Lapierre shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 53.0% vs Lapierre 51.7% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lapierre 55.4%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 78.2%
Neutral zone
Lapierre 57.1%
Result
Maxim Lapierre favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Cullen
Lapierre
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Cullen
Lapierre
Last 6: Cullen 1-5 Lapierre
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
0
1
Cullen
Lapierre
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
0
1
Cullen
Lapierre
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lapierre
1
3
Cullen
Lapierre
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Lapierre
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (915)
51.2% (422)
+4.8%
Power Play
43.1% (116)
66.7% (6)
-23.6%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (133)
57.4% (54)
-13.8%
On power play, Lapierre has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lapierre shoots right. Cullen is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (359).
Cullen shoots left. Lapierre is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Cullen
Lapierre
Home
56.9% (559)
54.4% (239)
Away
49.9% (619)
49.8% (243)
By Period
Cullen
Lapierre
P1
56.6%
49.4%
P2
51.6%
52.8%
P3
50.5%
54.2%
Final 5 min
52.5%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
53.2%
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2012 | 2 | 08:45 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 4, 2012 | 1 | 06:42 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |
| Jan 4, 2012 | 1 | 04:18 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 3 | 08:42 | Offensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 3 | 14:08 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 2 | 13:08 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |