Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 53.0% vs Backlund 46.1% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 63.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 61.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 68.0%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 64.3%
35.7%
64.3%
Cullen
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Cullen
Backlund
Last 10: Cullen 4-6 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cullen
Backlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
4
Cullen
Backlund
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
4
Cullen
Backlund
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (915)
45.9% (410)
+10.1%
Power Play
43.1% (116)
44.8% (29)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (133)
42.9% (56)
+0.7%
On even strength, Cullen has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Cullen is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (819).
Cullen shoots left. Backlund is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (306).
Home / Away
Cullen
Backlund
Home
56.9% (559)
49.3% (217)
Away
49.9% (619)
42.3% (279)
By Period
Cullen
Backlund
P1
56.6%
44.0%
P2
51.6%
49.4%
P3
50.5%
42.8%
OT
69.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.5%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
53.2%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 16:45 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 09:09 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 13:40 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 05:03 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 1 | 10:02 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 1 | 06:57 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 3 | 19:47 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 3 | 06:22 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 2 | 18:51 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 2 | 13:00 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 2 | 06:02 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 27, 2011 | 3 | 12:50 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 27, 2011 | 1 | 08:45 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 27, 2011 | 1 | 06:17 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 27, 2011 | 1 | 01:57 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |