Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Cullen on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cullen wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 55.2% vs Backlund 47.4% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cullen 62.9%
Defensive zone
Cullen 91.4%
Neutral zone
Cullen 87.9%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 77.9%
77.9%
22.1%
Cullen
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Cullen
Backlund
Last 5: Cullen 4-1 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cullen
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cullen
3
0
Cullen
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (783)
48.7% (912)
+10.4%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
46.3% (82)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (233)
38.3% (149)
+5.5%
On power play, Cullen has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Cullen is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (664).
Cullen shoots left. Backlund is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Home / Away
Cullen
Backlund
Home
59.0% (481)
48.2% (596)
Away
52.9% (563)
46.1% (547)
By Period
Cullen
Backlund
P1
55.7%
49.3%
P2
53.1%
44.7%
P3
58.0%
47.0%
OT
83.3%
72.7%
Final 5 min
53.6%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
55.7%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2016 | 2 | 15:02 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 1 | 06:01 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 3 | 18:21 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 3 | 05:56 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 1 | 11:21 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |