Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 53.0% vs Richards 50.5% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 64.6%
Defensive zone
Richards 61.5%
Neutral zone
Richards 56.5%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 61.1%
38.9%
61.1%
Cullen
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Cullen
Richards
Last 5: Cullen 1-4 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
0
1
Cullen
Richards
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
0
3
Cullen
Richards
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cullen
1
0
Cullen
Richards
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (915)
50.0% (776)
+6.0%
Power Play
43.1% (116)
50.0% (130)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (133)
54.5% (145)
-10.9%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Cullen is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (819).
Cullen shoots left. Richards is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (765).
Home / Away
Cullen
Richards
Home
56.9% (559)
47.2% (549)
Away
49.9% (619)
54.1% (518)
By Period
Cullen
Richards
P1
56.6%
52.5%
P2
51.6%
50.9%
P3
50.5%
47.5%
OT
69.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
52.5%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
53.2%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2012 | 2 | 08:29 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 1 | 00:44 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 3 | 11:12 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 1 | 19:41 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 1 | 08:40 | Defensive | Mike Richards |