Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cullen wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 55.2% vs Thompson 51.7% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 79.5%
Defensive zone
Cullen 54.7%
Neutral zone
Thompson 61.0%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 61.5%
38.5%
61.5%
Cullen
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Cullen
Thompson
Last 6: Cullen 2-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
1
0
Cullen
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Cullen
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
3
Cullen
Thompson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (783)
53.2% (380)
+5.9%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
50.0% (16)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (233)
45.5% (55)
-1.7%
On power play, Cullen has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Cullen is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (664).
Cullen shoots left. Thompson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (311).
Home / Away
Cullen
Thompson
Home
59.0% (481)
53.9% (243)
Away
52.9% (563)
50.0% (208)
By Period
Cullen
Thompson
P1
55.7%
46.9%
P2
53.1%
62.2%
P3
58.0%
47.5%
OT
83.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.6%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
55.7%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2016 | 3 | 07:43 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 2 | 13:26 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 1 | 17:07 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 1 | 13:44 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 3 | 04:20 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 1 | 09:32 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |