Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cullen wins 58.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 55.2% vs Bergeron 56.8% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 55.3%
Defensive zone
Cullen 79.7%
Neutral zone
Cullen 61.1%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 64.3%
64.3%
35.7%
Cullen
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Cullen
Bergeron
Last 8: Cullen 2-6 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
3
Cullen
Bergeron
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
3
Cullen
Bergeron
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cullen
1
0
Cullen
Bergeron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (783)
57.0% (1,376)
+2.1%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
62.8% (323)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (233)
51.3% (279)
-7.5%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Cullen is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (380).
Cullen shoots left. Bergeron is 58.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,343).
Home / Away
Cullen
Bergeron
Home
59.0% (481)
59.1% (986)
Away
52.9% (563)
55.1% (992)
By Period
Cullen
Bergeron
P1
55.7%
55.5%
P2
53.1%
58.0%
P3
58.0%
57.9%
OT
83.3%
53.1%
Final 5 min
53.6%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
55.7%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2016 | 2 | 19:05 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 24, 2016 | 2 | 18:53 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 24, 2016 | 1 | 19:00 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 18, 2015 | 3 | 15:57 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 18, 2015 | 3 | 00:15 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 18, 2015 | 2 | 09:22 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 18, 2015 | 1 | 16:24 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 16, 2015 | 3 | 05:45 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |