Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 51.1% vs Bergeron 59.6% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cullen 67.6%
Defensive zone
Cullen 91.5%
Neutral zone
Cullen 84.6%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 79.5%
79.5%
20.5%
Cullen
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Cullen
Bergeron
Last 6: Cullen 1-5 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
3
Cullen
Bergeron
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
2
Cullen
Bergeron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (648)
62.5% (1,254)
-8.5%
Power Play
58.3% (24)
60.1% (303)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (187)
48.2% (255)
-7.6%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Cullen is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (335).
Cullen shoots left. Bergeron is 62.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,170).
Home / Away
Cullen
Bergeron
Home
52.9% (416)
62.2% (902)
Away
49.7% (443)
58.0% (910)
By Period
Cullen
Bergeron
P1
53.5%
59.6%
P2
51.3%
60.4%
P3
49.2%
60.2%
OT
50.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
53.6%
59.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
51.2%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2016 | 3 | 19:16 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 14, 2016 | 3 | 11:51 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 14, 2016 | 2 | 10:43 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 14, 2016 | 2 | 07:36 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 14, 2016 | 1 | 16:31 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 14, 2016 | 1 | 03:49 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |