Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Cullen on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cullen wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Holland shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 55.2% vs Holland 47.1% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cullen 58.8%
Defensive zone
Cullen 90.3%
Neutral zone
Cullen 84.9%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 77.1%
77.1%
22.9%
Cullen
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Cullen
Holland
Last 6: Cullen 4-2 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cullen
Holland
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
1
0
Cullen
Holland
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cullen
2
1
Cullen
Holland
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (783)
45.7% (411)
+13.4%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
55.9% (34)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (233)
45.0% (20)
-1.2%
On even strength, Cullen has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. Cullen is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (664).
Cullen shoots left. Holland is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Home / Away
Cullen
Holland
Home
59.0% (481)
48.9% (219)
Away
52.9% (563)
44.3% (246)
By Period
Cullen
Holland
P1
55.7%
44.0%
P2
53.1%
51.7%
P3
58.0%
44.6%
OT
83.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
55.7%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2015 | 3 | 02:00 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 2 | 19:31 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 3 | 09:42 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 2 | 06:27 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 1 | 14:52 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 1 | 18:34 | Offensive | Peter Holland |