Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cullen on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cullen wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Horak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 53.8% vs Horak 46.9% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cullen 73.4%
Defensive zone
Cullen 59.1%
Neutral zone
Cullen 68.2%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Cullen
Horak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Cullen
Horak
Last 7: Cullen 4-3 Horak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
2
1
Cullen
Horak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cullen
Horak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Horak
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (368)
44.4% (189)
+11.9%
Power Play
43.8% (48)
45.5% (11)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (32)
80.0% (5)
-26.9%
On penalty kill, Horak has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horak shoots left. Cullen is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Cullen shoots left. Horak is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (135).
Home / Away
Cullen
Horak
Home
55.7% (194)
49.5% (93)
Away
53.9% (254)
42.0% (112)
By Period
Cullen
Horak
P1
60.3%
41.7%
P2
53.4%
51.5%
P3
50.0%
44.6%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
54.7%
Horak
38.0%▼
46.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2013 | 3 | 15:56 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 2 | 14:48 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 2 | 07:13 | Defensive | Roman Horak |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 2 | 17:11 | Offensive | Roman Horak |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 2 | 14:48 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 2 | 08:05 | Defensive | Roman Horak |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 2 | 03:00 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |