Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 53.0% vs Carter 49.8% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 61.1%
Defensive zone
Carter 58.9%
Neutral zone
Carter 59.2%
Result
Ryan Carter favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Cullen
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Cullen
Carter
Last 8: Cullen 3-5 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
1
0
Cullen
Carter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
4
Cullen
Carter
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cullen
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (915)
49.7% (390)
+6.3%
Power Play
43.1% (116)
57.1% (7)
-14.0%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (133)
48.5% (33)
-4.9%
On power play, Carter has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots left. Cullen is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (819).
Cullen shoots left. Carter is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (292).
Home / Away
Cullen
Carter
Home
56.9% (559)
51.5% (171)
Away
49.9% (619)
48.7% (261)
By Period
Cullen
Carter
P1
56.6%
50.7%
P2
51.6%
48.4%
P3
50.5%
50.4%
Final 5 min
52.5%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
53.2%
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2011 | 3 | 03:43 | Defensive | Ryan Carter |
| Dec 2, 2011 | 3 | 01:27 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 2, 2011 | 2 | 12:53 | Defensive | Ryan Carter |
| Dec 2, 2011 | 2 | 12:42 | Defensive | Ryan Carter |
| Dec 2, 2011 | 2 | 04:57 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 2, 2011 | 2 | 04:53 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Dec 2, 2011 | 1 | 18:15 | Defensive | Ryan Carter |
| Dec 2, 2011 | 1 | 08:11 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |