Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Cullen on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Cullen wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 53.8% vs Getzlaf 48.3% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cullen 80.0%
Defensive zone
Cullen 73.3%
Neutral zone
Cullen 69.1%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 72.5%
72.5%
27.5%
Cullen
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Cullen
Getzlaf
Last 9: Cullen 6-3 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
2
0
Cullen
Getzlaf
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cullen
Getzlaf
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cullen
3
2
Cullen
Getzlaf
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (368)
48.1% (607)
+8.2%
Power Play
43.8% (48)
52.2% (67)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (32)
43.1% (65)
+10.0%
On penalty kill, Cullen has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Cullen is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (128).
Cullen shoots left. Getzlaf is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (523).
Home / Away
Cullen
Getzlaf
Home
55.7% (194)
51.2% (326)
Away
53.9% (254)
45.5% (413)
By Period
Cullen
Getzlaf
P1
60.3%
50.2%
P2
53.4%
47.9%
P3
50.0%
47.0%
OT
66.7%
36.8%
Final 5 min
54.5%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
54.7%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 15:42 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 11:42 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 1, 2013 | 3 | 19:12 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 1, 2013 | 2 | 14:21 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 1, 2013 | 2 | 11:26 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 1, 2013 | 2 | 04:54 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 1, 2013 | 1 | 09:53 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 1, 2013 | 1 | 06:26 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 1, 2013 | 1 | 04:21 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |